On European Unity: Visegrad factor

In the run-up and post Brexit, we have heard quite a bit about a fantasy called European Unity. It is fashionable to talk about European unity and paint UK’ decision to leave as an act of betrayal. Was it? The situation requires a different perspective. Whenever I hear about European unity my mind is immediately cast back to January 2003. That was the day the US Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, smirking, sliced up European continent in two. He dubbed them, Old and New Europe. France and Germany constituted Old Europe – “unimportant” half and countries of former Warsaw Pact as New Europe – the bright future of Europe. The setting of these unprecedented events and statements was the looming Iraq War. Instead of backing anti-war coalition of Germany, France and Russia (who were proved to be right), the New Europe ostentatiously sided with pro-war US (who proved to be catastrophically wrong). Whether they were emphatically persuaded by the Secretary of State Colin Powell waving a vial containing WMDs remains a matter of  scholarly debate. What is clear, just like certain British PM (who shed crocodile tears more than a decade later) they were with Dubya and US – no matter what. Thus begs a question, what about European Unity? Why did they not side with European grandees, French President Chirac and German Chancellor Schroeder, people with the same European values and who have done so much to facilitate their EU accession? Realpolitik on the table, unity in the bin.

European Commission President at the time Romano Prodi said he was saddened rather than angry with the candidates (countries applying for EU membership or those with set dates of joining EU) because their pro-Americanism was a signal they had failed to understand that the EU is more than a mere economic union. Around the same time, I morphed from being a pro-EU dove into a staunchly anti-EU hawk. The realisation had come, that this project was a giant on clay feet serving vested interests and that it would be eventually toppled when interests prevail over values and unity. Once EU membership and funds were in the bag, what’s next? A sensible question to some but this transactional approach to EU project would eventually prove to be the downfall of EU itself.

New Europe, Poland in particular, would always look after their own interests and do things in accordance with those needs. March in line and sing the song to be accepted into EU and start receiving billions in funds? No problem. It is a win win. Unhappy and dissatisfied citizens get to travel and move permanently wherever they want – this is what happened in the UK where over 1m Poles have arrived since 2004 – and vote accordingly to keep those rights. The elites, that motley crew of career politicians and businessmen, get to lace their hands with EU silver. Corruption on the 3rd world scale proliferated. For an example, I draw the attention of my readers to the construction of Southern Bridge in the capital of Latvia, Riga. This is the excerpt from Wikipedia:

The bridge was constructed between 2004 and 2008, and was opened on November 17, 2008. Construction of the access roads lasted until 2013. The government control commission in the report for January 2002 to September 2008 showed that, during that period, costs increased fivefold – from a planned 108.84 million lats to 570.14 million lats. The third and final stage of construction was halted due to lack of funding, but was finished in 2013.

When I visited Latvia, the taxi driver left me in no doubt as to who benefited from the delays and the five-fold increase in costs. The project has become a national joke. There are hundreds of similar projects in Eastern Europe. Delayed and with increasing costs. As recently as March 2018, Latvian rep at the ECB was arrested on bribery charges. Do we really think it is an isolated incident? No, this is the actual reality. Can they be blamed for it? As I have said before, no. They are doing what is right for their countries and any voting citizen would tell you that it is the right thing to do. Not the bribery, of course. But if that is the case, let us not pretend that European Unity exists. We see it even now, in Poland and Hungary, where conservative right-wing parties are looking to solidify control over independent media and courts in direct opposition to officially espoused European values. They are being threatened with sanctions but to no avail. They might be persuaded to back down for now but the undercurrent is there. The old adage still stands: interests over principles. There was no clear demonstration of this truth than 2003 and 2016.

Books That Mattered

My ongoing, complimentary and in no particular order reply to Jorge Luis Borges and his list:

http://www.openculture.com/2015/03/jorge-luis-borges-personal-library.html

Let’s begin with a beautiful and irreplaceable starter:

Greek Mythology

Lord of the Rings

Three Musketeers

Brave New World

We

A Hero of Our Time

Gulliver’s Travels

The Day of the Jackal

Of Human Bondage

Dune

Gormenghast

One Thousand and One Nights 

The Red and Black

The Stranger

Top 11 Films

In this section of my blog, I will be recommending films that, in my humble opinion, are an absolute must watch. Films that temper the inner steel and develop empathy, films that reinforce our moral core and make us laugh coming apart at the seams.

What would be a better way to start than with my personal top 11. Why eleven? Because all good things go up to 11 😉

Feast your eyes on these gems:

The list is available here on IMDB: http://www.imdb.com/list/ls062691795/

Enjoy!

 

On Trump…

Cataclysmic event took place late last year. In November 2016, Donald J Trump , against all odds, have ascended to the pinnacle of US politics. I have supported Trump from the start. He is the ultimate anti-hero who stood out from the field of homogenised candidates of the Republican party. Is he a perfect man? No, the original sin is very much present in this descendant of Adam. I will try to distinguish between one man’s brash style and bombastic approach to life and his deeds in the post of President of the United States. To say that he had to overcome wind, fire and whatever other “establishment” elements had to throw at him would be an understatement of criminal proportions. In my whole life, and many others no doubt, I have never been so shocked and exhilarated at the same time. Here was The Great Barbarian (TGB) and his motley crew of supporters at the gates of a decadent and self-absorbed Great Ivory Tower (GIT). Something will have to give and the trajectory of human history has changed once again. The history has not ended. Rejoice!

I will be following and commenting on Trump’s successes and failures. This will be followed by a verdict on his Presidency in 2020. Remember, play the game not the man.

On Brexit…

One of the issues that I would be following in this blog is the issue of Brexit and post-Brexit EU in general. Brexit, undoubtedly, was a tectonic event both for United Kingdom and European Union. Forty years of rowing in one direction reversed in one stroke. The event so critically pivotal that it could prove the undoing of the European Union itself given the current rising level of euro-scepticism. I understand the pain and teeth gnashing of Civil Service and business community who will have to adjust to new reality but such are political risks. They had plenty of time to prepare. Since 2014 in fact. Blame your hubris and bad business models incapable of facing headwind. Do not blame Brexit.

I believed in EU until the invasion of Iraq in 2003 (I also blame younger idealistic self). I hoped that the EU would become an alternative power centre and will act as an independent arbiter between US, Russia and China. Alas, EU has become a vassal state which easily splits into Old and New Europe at the snap of the fingers from across the pond. Where was European unity then? There is no unity just self-interest. New Europe, US and UK were wrong. Terribly wrong. If only New Europe (represented primarily by Poland and Baltic states) had supported President Chirac and Chancellor Schroeder then what is happening right now in the Middle East could have been averted but I digress. I will make it be known that I have voted for Brexit and for me the choice facing the British public was as clear as a delight. One position that has resonated with me more than any other – post-Brexit analysis by renowned historian Niall Ferguson (a staunch Remainer who called proponents of Brexit – Angloonies and was one of 300 historians who signed an open letter making a pro-EU case). For him to come out, put his hand up and admit to his mistake was admirable. I disagree with Mr Ferguson on a number of issues but here he had nailed the problem on its head. You can read the full article here:

https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2016/12/12/was-wrong-brexit/P9xUZuE1OGjpkV1wxiZ79J/story.html

The main takeaways:

  • Failure of European monetary union
  • Failure of common foreign policy
  • Failure to deal with financial crisis
  • Failure to deal with mass migration (related to mistakes in foreign policy)
  • Failure to address David Cameron’s concerns in Feb 2016

I particularly agree with a macro view he expressed in this particular passage:

“For years I have argued that Europe became the world’s most dynamic civilization after around 1500 partly because of political fragmentation and competition between multiple independent states. I have also argued that the rule of law — and specifically the English common law — was one of the “killer applications” of western civilization”.

Niall Ferguson was one of the Experts who vociferously predicted doom and gloom. It is my firm belief that the so-called “Experts” were driven by ulterior motives. If they were not then how did they manage to get it so wrong? Emergency budget, house price crash and WW3 to name a few? Unscrupulous or incompetent? Given the sample size of Experts in question we can safely rule out the latter. In Niall’s article, we can see what was behind one of those predictions – to help his mate Dave. What was driving the rest of the Experts brigade I will leave to your imagination.

In this blog, I will continue to debunk pro-EU, and essentially anti-British, argument that Britain made a huge mistake and about to walk off the cliff edge. My stated aim: look at the fundamentals and ignore the Experts who are hellbent on shaping the world rather than on providing sound unbiased advice.